Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 18

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Tapadinha (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Atlético CP		Oliveira Hospital

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.2
	1.74	3.45	4.3
	1.82	3.49	4.95
	1.77	3.42	4.8
	1.69	3.42	4.68
	1.74	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.88)	3.42 ↑ (3.25)	4.54 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético CP
52.8%

Draw
26.9%

Oliveira Hospital
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.6%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

25.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Oliveira Hospital has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Atlético CP - Oliveira Hospital Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlético CP will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Oliveira Hospital will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Dias J. (G) 45. Junior T. 4. Henriques D. 23. Almeida B. 5. Durand V. 60. Marques R. 22. Pinheiro E. 88. Pinto P. 14. Joaozinho 7. Barandas M. 11. Franco E.	71. Fernandes L. (G) 17. Pinheiro L. 44. Pablo Veloso 66. Carreira R. 19. Michel 28. Nascimento D. 8. David Bras 55. Silva T. 18. Souza E. 77. Balde U. 7. Varela A.
Substitutes
10. Caleb 28. Cruz H. 29. Dinamite D. 20. Gonzalez F. 77. Mendes J. 1. Ribeiro L. (G) 17. Silva D. 19. Sousa C. 13. Talison	88. Davi Soeiro 12. Fajardo R. 9. Gracio D. . John Santos 1. Miguel B. (G) 11. Neiva G. 38. Oliveira M. 3. Simao A. 70. Wilson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Franco E. ⚽,
42', Pinheiro E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Franco E. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
46', Pinheiro E. ↓, Sousa C. ↑,
51', Silva T. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
61', Pinto P. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
61', Barandas M. ↓, Caleb ↑,
63', Varela A. ↓, Gracio D. ↑,
67', Durand V. ↓, Dinamite D. ↑,
71', Souza E. ↓, Davi Soeiro ↑,
73', Pinheiro L. ↓, Oliveira M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Atlético CP is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )

Oliveira Hospital is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )

Atlético CP is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oliveira Hospital has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético CP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Oliveira Hospital have a series of home games.

Atlético CP will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Atlético CP to win the game is with odds 1.9.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético CP won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético CP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
19.01.25	Caldas - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Covilhã - Atlético CP	1:3 ✺
05.01.25	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	SC Lusitânia - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
06.12.24	Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWTWW
- Oliveira Hospital
Portuguese Liga 3
22.01.25	SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Oliveira Hospital - Covilhã	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	Oliveira Hospital - Belenenses	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.12.24	Oliveira Hospital - São João de Ver	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.12.24	1 Dezembro - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
26.10.24	Oliveira Hospital - Atlético CP	3:2
21.01.24	Atlético CP - Oliveira Hospital	1:0
07.10.23	Oliveira Hospital - Atlético CP	0:3

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