Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 9

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Tábua (Tábua)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Oliveira Hospital		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	2.95
	2.19	3.2	3
	2.17	3.42	3.39
	2.21	3.33	3.19	Watch
	2.24	3.43	3.02	Watch
	2.19	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.33)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	3.09 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveira Hospital
42.2%

Draw
28%

Covilhã
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28.3%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

27.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveira Hospital has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Oliveira Hospital - Covilhã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Andre Paulo (G) 30. Vinhas D. 28. Nascimento D. (C) 3. Simao A. 8. David Bras 16. Geovanny 23. Io S. 55. Silva T. 19. Michel 9. Gracio D. 11. Neiva G.	53. Oliveira P. R. (G) 70. Peixoto R. 42. Claxton N. 44. David Santos 6. Maio F. 10. Salgado L. M. 77. Ramalho D. (C) 91. Paula G. 17. Filipe L. 19. Duarte L. 27. Fuller T.
Substitutes
71. Fernandes L. (G) 15. Manoel Atanasio 38. Oliveira M. 44. Pablo Veloso 17. Pinheiro L. 46. Santos J. 18. Souza E. 21. Urco 7. Varela A.	16. Cornelio D. 55. Garcia F. 71. Joao Goncalo (G) 32. Mica 9. Paulinho 78. Peixoto R. 89. Piteira 4. Tiago Caveira 5. Ze Simao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Silva T. ↓, Souza E. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Neiva G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Peixoto R. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
61', Maio F. ↓, Cornelio D. ↑,
71', Fuller T. ↓, Mica ↑,
71', Ramalho D. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
87', Neiva G. ↓, Oliveira M. ↑,
87', Luis Oliveira ↓, Tiago Caveira ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oliveira Hospital won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Oliveira Hospital will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Oliveira Hospital won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Oliveira Hospital won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliveira Hospital
Portuguese Liga 3
12.04.25	Académica Coimbra - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Oliveira Hospital - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Caldas - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Oliveira Hospital - Académica Coimbra	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Oliveira Hospital - Caldas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLTW
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
16.04.25	Covilhã - SC Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	União de Santarém - Covilhã	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	SC Lusitânia - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Covilhã - União de Santarém	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
23.02.25	Covilhã - Oliveira Hospital	1:1
19.01.25	Oliveira Hospital - Covilhã	0:1
05.10.24	Covilhã - Oliveira Hospital	1:0
13.01.24	Oliveira Hospital - Covilhã	2:1
01.10.23	Covilhã - Oliveira Hospital	3:2
Club Friendly
10.07.19	Covilhã - Oliveira Hospital	4:0

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