Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio João Paulo II (Angra do Heroísmo)


	SC Lusitânia		Oliveira Hospital

	1	X	2
	12.5	4.75	1.22
	11.72	5.12	1.18
	23.36	10.08	1.06	Watch
	13	4.6	1.22
	13.2	5.15	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.76 ↑ (7.2)	5.94 ↑ (4.08)	1.18 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
6.2%

Draw
15.5%

Oliveira Hospital
78.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

22.3%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

21.8%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SC Lusitânia's form might have worsened.

Oliveira Hospital has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oliveira Hospital's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SC Lusitânia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oliveira Hospital, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Barge G. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Matheus Matias ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4).

SC Lusitânia is Relegated to

SC Lusitânia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oliveira Hospital is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Oliveira Hospital may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Oliveira Hospital is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oliveira Hospital	4	3	0	1	6:4	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
04.04.26	Marinhense - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Lajense - SC Lusitânia	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	SC Lusitânia - União da Serra	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	SB Castelo Branco - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	SC Lusitânia - Eléctrico	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLLW
- Oliveira Hospital
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
04.04.26	Oliveira Hospital - União da Serra	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Fatima - Oliveira Hospital	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	SB Castelo Branco - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Oliveira Hospital - Eléctrico	5:0 ✺
08.03.26	Vitória de Sernache - Oliveira Hospital	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.12.25	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	2:1
Portuguese Liga 3
04.05.25	SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital	2:2
16.02.25	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	1:1
22.01.25	SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital	0:0
29.09.24	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	1:1

SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide