Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 15

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Tapadinha (Lisbon)


	Atlético CP		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.55
	2.48	3	2.62
	2.67	3.06	2.72	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.8
	2.59	3.21	2.69	Watch
	2.45	3	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.61)	3.05 ↑ (3)	2.68 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético CP
36%

Draw
30%

Académica Coimbra
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.3%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30.6%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferreira F. (G) 31. Paulinho 3. Gonzalez F. 4. Henriques D. 5. Durand V. 19. Okoli F. 6. Pascoal C. 7. Barandas M. 10. Caleb 96. Herrera J. 9. Nicolas Souza	98. Alves C. (G) 11. Farias E. 3. Teixeira R. 4. Silva G. 15. Kaka 6. Montez A. 28. Cascavel 5. Silva L. 17. Marcos Paulo 14. Triana C. 93. Souza B.
Substitutes
23. Almeida B. 79. Arezes D. 81. Bolivar J. (G) 11. Delcio 99. Dias R. (G) 18. Dias R. 29. Dinamite D. 14. Joaozinho 60. Marques R. 88. Morais G. 20. Pereira R. 38. Santana C. 77. Santos R. 17. Silva D. 8. Sousa C.	9. Barbosa N. 21. Candeias D. 18. Cuba 12. Gabriel Passos 23. Karseladze J. 1. Macedo N. (G) 10. Pereira N. 7. Tiago Andre 27. Vitor G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', Barandas M. 🟨,
21', Montez A. 🟨,
25', Teixeira R. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Barandas M. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Montez A. ⚽,
45+7', 1 - 2, Cascavel ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Okoli F. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
46', Kaka ↓, Tiago Andre ↑,
47', 1 - 3, Cascavel ⚽,
52', 1 - 4, Cascavel ⚽, Souza B. (A),
56', Caleb ↓, Santana C. ↑,
62', Marcos Paulo ↓, Candeias D. ↑,
69', Cascavel ↓, Pereira N. ↑,
70', Herrera J. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
88', Silva L. ↓, Gabriel Passos ↑,
88', Triana C. ↓, Barbosa N. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Académica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético CP won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
20.12.25	1 Dezembro - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Atlético CP - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Caldas - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Atlético CP - Belenenses	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.11.25	Atlético CP - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLL
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
21.12.25	Académica Coimbra - Lusitano GC	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Belenenses - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Académica Coimbra - Mafra	3:3 ✺
29.11.25	União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Académica Coimbra - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
28.09.25	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	2:0
05.01.25	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	1:1
15.09.24	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	1:3
04.05.24	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	1:1
10.03.24	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	1:3
27.01.24	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	2:2
29.10.23	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	2:1

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