Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Atlético Cali		Unión Magdalena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.35	3.35	1.78	Watch
	4.37	3.35	1.77
	4.6	3.44	1.78	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.75
	4.69	3.32	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (4.08)	3.31 ↓ (3.47)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cali
20.5%

Draw
27.6%

Unión Magdalena
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26.8%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

25.9%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cali than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Atlético Cali - Unión Magdalena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Agudelo D. (C) 6. Balanta E. 11. Cabezas C. 10. Eraso G. 23. Hormaza E. 5. Julio J. 9. Onate A. 21. Renteria J. 15. Veira J. 2. Villa F. 4. Zamora J.	12. Mojica D. (G) 17. Arrieta G. 2. Ballesteros M. 7. Carreno A. 23. Congo J. (C) 22. Giraldo J. 3. Mera D. 18. Molina F. 6. Ortiz D. 16. Surmay O. 20. Vasquez J.
Substitutes
3. Alomia J. 27. Cano C. 26. Cordoba S. 7. Farias J. 1. Jaramillo Agudelo J. D. (G) 14. Landazuri L. 17. Riascos L. 13. Royero R. 24. Saavedra S.	19. Diaz K. 4. Garcia G. 9. Iguaran C. 11. Palacios J. 14. Pinto J. 25. Sagrera W. 66. Tasso M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Carreno A. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Cabezas C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Julio J. 🟨,
62', 🟨,
62', Julio J. ↓, Landazuri L. ↑,
63', Renteria J. ↓, Riascos L. ↑,
67', Cabezas C. ↓, Farias J. ↑,
70', Ballesteros M. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
70', Congo J. ↓, Iguaran C. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Carreno A. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Arrieta G. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
90+3', Vasquez J. ↓, Sagrera W. ↑,
90+3', Carreno A. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 3, Iguaran C. ⚽,

Preview

Unión Magdalena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cali won 0.

Recent form of Atlético Cali has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Unión Magdalena's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Unión Magdalena is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cali won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:25. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Cali won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	U. Magdalena	11	3	3	5	10:12	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Cali - the odds 4.08 are the expected chance of winning is 22.76%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cali FC
Colombian Primera B
12.04.26	Deportes Quindío - Atlético Cali	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Atlético Cali - Envigado	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Atlético Cali - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:1 ✺
25.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Atlético Cali	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Tigres - Atlético Cali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLTWL
- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera B
13.04.26	Unión Magdalena - Internacional de Palmira	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Unión Magdalena - Envigado	4:2 ✺
30.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Unión Magdalena	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Unión Magdalena - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Real Cartagena - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
05.06.25	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali	0:0
Colombian Primera B
17.09.24	Atlético Cali - Unión Magdalena	0:2
13.04.24	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali	2:0
09.10.21	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali	3:3
07.05.21	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali	5:1
25.04.21	Atlético Cali - Unión Magdalena	1:1
29.03.21	Atlético Cali - Unión Magdalena	0:2

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