Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta)


	Unión Magdalena		Envigado

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.3
	2.08	3.05	3.45	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.16
	1.98	3.33	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3	3.1
	2.18	3.12	3.43	Watch
	2.08	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.12)	3.14 ↑ (2.63)	3.41 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Magdalena
44%

Draw
29.1%

Envigado
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

35.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Envigado's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Unión Magdalena - Envigado Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Envigado will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Tasso M. (G) 23. Congo J. 19. Diaz K. 22. Giraldo J. 9. Iguaran C. 27. Lerma J. 3. Mera D. 10. Mercado J. (C) 18. Molina F. 5. Penaloza J. 20. Vasquez J.	88. Tovar A. (G) 80. Aristizabal J. 31. Berrio F. 15. Cuervo G. 23. Hernandez J. 33. Londono E. 21. Lopez E. 9. Marulanda M. 5. Norena S. 2. Palacios D. 26. Valencia Mosquera D. A.
Substitutes
17. Arrieta G. 2. Ballesteros M. 28. Franco O. 12. Mojica D. (G) 15. Narvaez L. 11. Palacios J. 24. Quintero 25. Sagrera W. 16. Surmay O.	19. Acuna S. 7. Dawson D. 11. Hurtado W. 6. Palacio J. 27. Quejada J. 16. Ramirez N. 12. Villa M. (G) . Zapata D. 17. Zapata E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Congo J. ⚽,
27', Mercado J. ↓, Arrieta G. ↑,
31', 2 - 0, Molina F. ⚽,
33', Berrio F. ↓, Acuna S. ↑,
45+3', 2 - 1, Palacios D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
56', Penaloza J. 🟨,
57', 2 - 2, Hernandez J. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Diaz K. ↓, Surmay O. ↑,
64', Palacios D. 🟨,
65', 3 - 2, Molina F. ⚽,
68', Aristizabal J. 🟨,
69', Vasquez J. 🟨,
70', Lerma J. 🟨,
77', (Penalty Awarded),
77', Marulanda M. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
78', Aristizabal J. ↓, Hurtado W. ↑,
84', Londono E. ↓, Quejada J. ↑,
89', Congo J. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 2, Franco O. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 2.

Unión Magdalena will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Envigado	11	2	6	3	12:11	1	12
11	U. Magdalena	11	3	3	5	10:12	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Envigado - the odds 4.45 are the expected chance of winning is 20.87%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera B
30.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Unión Magdalena	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Unión Magdalena - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Real Cartagena - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Unión Magdalena - Patriotas	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Unión Magdalena - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWT
- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera B
06.04.26	Atlético Cali - Envigado	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Real Santander - Envigado	1:3 ✺
25.03.26	Envigado - Bogotá	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Envigado - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Leones - Envigado	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
17.10.25	Unión Magdalena - Envigado	3:1
26.04.25	Envigado - Unión Magdalena	2:1
31.07.23	Envigado - Unión Magdalena	0:0
05.02.23	Unión Magdalena - Envigado	1:1
06.08.22	Envigado - Unión Magdalena	1:2
11.02.22	Unión Magdalena - Envigado	2:1
13.10.19	Unión Magdalena - Envigado	1:0

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