The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Claypole 39.9%
Draw 34.6%
El Porvenir 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
30%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48%
28.8%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Claypole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Claypole's form might have worsened.
El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Claypole than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Claypole, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Atlético Claypole - El Porvenir Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Nami D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Cruz F. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Bernal T. ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Claypole won 3.
Atlético Claypole is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
El Porvenir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Atlético Claypole may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Atlético Claypole could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético Claypole won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Claypole won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).