Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday


	Atlético Escobar		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.95	4.10
	1.95	2.82	3.95
	2.22	2.76	3.63
	1.89	2.97	4.56	Watch
	2.2	2.55	3.55
	2.11	3.06	3.7
	1.95	2.85	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.71)	2.85 ↓ (3.2)	3.88 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Escobar
44.8%

Draw
31.8%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

28%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

27.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Escobar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Escobar's form might have worsened.

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Escobar than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Escobar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Rebora E. (G)
	5. Altamirano L.
	4. Casares J.
	11. Favre A.
	9. Garcia A.
	10. Germanier N.
	6. Laumann F.
	8. Lebus N.
	2. Palladino T.
	3. Rocca F.
	7. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
	15. Arraigada A.
	12. Baro R.
	16. Chiapella E.
	17. Dening L.
	18. Marquez E.
	13. Olague R.
	14. Suarez N.
	19. Valle T.
	20. Vila L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 🟨,
29', 🟨,
30', 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Germanier N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
88', 0 - 2, Vila L. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Gimnasia y Esgrima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Escobar is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Escobar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Escobar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Escobar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.08.26	Tucuman Central - Atlético Escobar	2:3 ✺
12.08.26	Atlético Escobar - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Atlético Escobar	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Atlético Escobar - Boca Unidos	0:3 ✺
24.07.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Atlético Escobar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWLT
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Tucuman Central	4:0 ✺
26.07.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - El Linqueño	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.26	Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:1
26.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Atlético Escobar	1:2

Upcoming Matches