The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay 58.7%
Draw 25.4%
Defensores de Vilelas 15.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.2%
28.9%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
28.1%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay's performance.
Defensores de Vilelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Vilelas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rebora E. (G) 5. Altamirano L. 11. Bogado M. 4. Casares J. 10. Germanier N. 6. Laumann F. 8. Lebus N. 2. Palladino T. 3. Rocca F. 7. Rodriguez J. 9. Sonzogni A.
1. Ledesma L. (G) 2. Berlo B. 11. Canario J. 9. Carballo G. 4. Fernandez F. 3. Molina N. 8. Montenegro R. 6. Navarro L. 10. Niz L. 5. Remotti L. 7. Rios G.
Substitutes
15. Arraigada A. 20. Baltore D. 12. Baro R. 17. Dening L. 19. Favre A. 18. Garcia A. 13. Olague R. 14. Suarez N. 16. Valle T.
17. Acevedo J. 15. Acevedo M. 20. Canete G. 14. Farias F. 12. Ferreyra M. (G) 19. Larrasabal L. 18. Moreno G. 13. Turraca J. 16. Vargas A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Navarro L. 🟨,
19', Berlo B. 🟨,
30', Remotti L. 🟥,
34', 1 - 0, Palladino T. ⚽,
38', Niz L. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Bogado M. ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sonzogni A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
49', Fernandez F. 🟥,
56', 🟨,
56', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
Preview
Gimnasia y Esgrima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Def de Vilelas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Def de Vilelas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Gimnasia y Esgrima is the team to beat.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Watch
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Rebora E. (G) 
Altamirano L. 
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