Match Info

Date: 8 July 2021, Thursday


	Atlético Grau		Santos

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.3	5.75
	1.63	3.15	4.9
	1.63	3.3	4.7
	1.65	3.28	5.12
	1.65	3.6	4.33
	1.68	3.22	5.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.43)	3.31 ↓ (3.82)	5.08 ↓ (8.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Grau
55.1%

Draw
27.2%

Santos
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

24.2%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77%

20.3%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Grau's form might have worsened.

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+21.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Atlético Grau - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Santos will win (votes: 10 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 20.8% – 59.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Santos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Grau is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Grau won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Grau won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
04.07.21	Carlos A. Mannucci - Atlético Grau	3:2 penalties ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
28.06.21	Comerciantes Unidos - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
24.06.21	Chavelines Juniors - Atlético Grau	1:2 ✺
16.06.21	Atlético Grau - Deportivo Municipal	1:0 penalties ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
04.06.21	Atlético Grau - Molinos El Pirata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWW
- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
03.07.21	Santos - Comerciantes Unidos	4:2 ✺
26.06.21	Pirata - Santos	2:2 ✺
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
11.06.21	Santos - Sport Boys	1:3 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
04.06.21	Santos - Juan Aurich	0:0 ✺
30.05.21	Deportivo Coopsol - Santos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
08.09.19	Atlético Grau - Santos	1:1
26.05.19	Santos - Atlético Grau	2:0

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