Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 9

Date: 7 June 2023, Wednesday


	Pirata		Santos

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.75
	2.25	3.3	2.7
	2.29	3.36	2.8
	2.25	3.25	2.8
	2.25	3.54	2.78
	2.18	3.35	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.86)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	2.78 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pirata
40.6%

Draw
26.9%

Santos
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26.9%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

26.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pirata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pirata's form might have worsened.

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pirata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Pirata could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pirata won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Pirata won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirata FC
Peruvian Liga 2
31.05.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Pirata	3:0 ✺
25.05.23	Pirata - Ayacucho	2:0 ✺
18.05.23	Carlos Stein - Pirata	0:2 ✺
13.05.23	Pirata - Universidad San Martín	0:2 ✺
09.05.23	Pirata - Juan Aurich	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWLT
- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
30.05.23	Santos - Unión Huaral	1:0 ✺
25.05.23	Comerciantes Belén - Santos	1:0 ✺
19.05.23	Santos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	Los Chankas - Santos	4:1 ✺
07.05.23	Santos - Comerciantes Unidos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
11.09.22	Santos - Pirata	1:2
11.06.22	Pirata - Santos	0:1
26.08.21	Santos - Pirata	2:0
26.06.21	Pirata - Santos	2:2

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