Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares (Madrid)

Referee: Trujilano L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Uruguay	DAZN App
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN App


	Atlético Madrid		Badalona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	4.95	7.9	Watch
	1.35	4.75	8.83
	1.63	3.88	4.82	Watch
	1.33	5.02	8.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.63)	4.65 ↑ (3.88)	7.5 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
67.3%

Draw
20.2%

Badalona
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

23.9%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

25.2%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid's performance.

Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Badalona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Badalona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Madrid - Badalona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Madrid (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Atlético Madrid (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Madrid (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lola (C) 23. Alexia 4. Lauren Leal 15. Lloris S. 14. Otermin R. 6. Boe Risa V. 17. Bartel J. 22. Luany 21. Iannuzzi F. 19. Portales Nieto M. 9. Guijarro S.	13. Canales A. (G) 3. Pujadas B. 23. Cubedo C. 4. Majarin S. (C) 16. Pinillos I. 20. Gonzalez Rosa A. 2. Garrote N. 11. Julve E. 6. Llompart Pons M. 17. Sanchez P. 18. Chamorro Gomez L. F.
Substitutes
28. Gomez C. 13. Larque P. (G) 27. Martin N. 11. Menayo C. 5. Perez X. 41. Rodriguez L. 20. Sarriegi A. 10. Vitoria A.	21. Barclais C. 22. Extremera S. 15. Gimenez M. 8. Jankovska S. 24. Junge-Pedersen S. 14. Kullashi L. 1. Lopez M. (G) 19. Navarro L. 7. Uribe I.
Coaches
Alba V.	Junyent A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Gonzalez Rosa A. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Boe Risa V. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sanchez P. ↓, Uribe I. ↑,
61', Boe Risa V. ↓, Vitoria A. ↑,
61', Guijarro S. ↓, Sarriegi A. ↑,
61', Otermin R. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
65', Gonzalez Rosa A. ↓, Junge-Pedersen S. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
73', Lauren Leal ↓, Menayo C. ↑,
73', Garrote N. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
79', Navarro L. 🟨,
80', Bartel J. 🟨,
81', Llompart Pons M. 🟨,
84', Pinillos I. ↓, Barclais C. ↑,
85', Bartel J. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
90', Sarriegi A. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 3.

Atlético Madrid has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Badalona is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlético Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético Madrid is the clear favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Madrid won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Madrid - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.87%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid Féminas
UEFA Champions League Women
12.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Juventus	1:2 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
09.11.25	Logroño United - Atlético Madrid	0:5 ✺
01.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Alhama	4:0 ✺
19.10.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
16.10.25	Atlético Madrid - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWWTL
- FC Badalona Women
Spanish Liga F Women
09.11.25	Badalona - Levante	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
04.11.25	Osasuna - Badalona	0:3 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
01.11.25	Badalona - Sevilla	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Tenerife - Badalona	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Badalona - Madrid CFF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
18.05.25	Atlético Madrid - Badalona	5:0
18.01.25	Badalona - Atlético Madrid	1:1
Spanish Copa De La Reina
20.12.24	Badalona - Atlético Madrid	0:1
Spanish Liga F Women
24.05.24	Atlético Madrid - Badalona	3:1
27.01.24	Badalona - Atlético Madrid	1:1
06.05.23	Atlético Madrid - Badalona	0:1
20.11.22	Badalona - Atlético Madrid	1:2

Atlético Madrid - Badalona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide