The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Madrid 65.8%
Draw 20.6%
Málaga 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
73.4%
17.6%
9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid's form might have worsened.
Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.9%
6.1%
0%
Atlético Madrid - Málaga Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
EH -1 - Atlético (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - over (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Atlético (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atlético Madrid will win
(31 of 33 users predict this - 93.94%). Confidence interval (95%): 85.8% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (G) 27. Dominguez J. 24. Le Normand R. 17. Hancko D. 30. Martinez D. 12. Martin C. 6. Koke (C) 8. Barrios P. 4. Mendoza R. 16. Ortiz A. 11. Lookman A.
1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 15. Recio A. 4. Galilea E. 31. Rafita 10. Larrubia D. 22. Lorenzo D. 23. Merino I. 11. Munoz J. 9. Chupe 8. Dotor C.
Substitutes
10. Baena A. 5. Cardoso J. 46. Castillo J. 29. Cubo M. 2. Gimenez J. 22. Grimaldo A. 23. Hjulmand M. 7. Lee Kang-In 14. Llorente M. 1. Musso J. (G) 18. Pubill M. 20. Simeone G.
7. Abaida H. 19. Cruz J. 6. Enriquez R. 32. Fernandez J. 17. Jauregi E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 28. Otunenche J. 5. Pastor A. 14. Rodriguez R. 12. Salinas J.
Coaches
Simeone D.
Funes J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Hancko D. 🟨,
37', Dominguez J. 🟨,
45+4', Puga C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Dominguez J. ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
57', Ortiz A. ↓, Baena A. ↑,
57', Martin C. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
57', Mendoza R. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
67', Dotor C. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
67', Munoz J. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Lee Kang-In ⚽, Hancko D. (A),
72', Puga C. ↓, Salinas J. ↑,
78', Koke ↓, Hjulmand M. ↑,
80', Cruz J. 🟨,
80', Galilea E. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
80', Lorenzo D. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Baena A. ⚽,
88', Enriquez R. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 5.
Málaga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Málaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Málaga has had a series of home games.
In this match, Atlético is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Atlético: Alvarez J.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Sorloth A.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Málaga: Calero F.
(Ribs Injury)
Diarra M.
(Calf Injury)
Juanpe
(Muscle Injury)
Murillo D.
(Injury)
Nino A.
(Injury)
Ochoa A.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Atlético: Romero C.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 1.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2:0.9).