Match Info

Date: 1 December 2020, Tuesday


	Atlético Madrid		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3.8
	1.87	3.9	3.8
	1.93	3.9	3.95
	1.88	3.8	3.9
	1.93	3.98	3.94
	1.91	3.75	3.8
	1.97	4	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.09)	3.87 ↓ (3.87)	3.89 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
50.4%

Draw
24.9%

Bayern Munich
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

24.7%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

19.2%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.2%	10.2%	28.6%

Atlético Madrid - Bayern Munich Predictions

Users Predictions: 245 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 150 - 61.2%). Bayern will win (votes: 70 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 10.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 55.1% – 67.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Atlético has a good chance of round of 16 (81%), has a chance of qtrs (40%), has a chance of semis (20%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Atlético is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bayern is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlético will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
28.11.20	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.20	Atlético Madrid - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
21.11.20	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	1:0 ✺
07.11.20	Atlético Madrid - Cádiz	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.11.20	Lokomotiv Moscow - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWWT
- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
28.11.20	Stuttgart - Bayern Munich	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.20	Bayern Munich - Red Bull Salzburg	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.11.20	Bayern Munich - Werder Bremen	1:1 ✺
07.11.20	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.11.20	Red Bull Salzburg - Bayern Munich	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
21.10.20	Bayern Munich - Atlético Madrid	4:0
06.12.16	Bayern Munich - Atlético Madrid	1:0
28.09.16	Atlético Madrid - Bayern Munich	1:0
03.05.16	Bayern Munich - Atlético Madrid	2:1
27.04.16	Atlético Madrid - Bayern Munich	1:0

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