Match Info

LaLiga - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Supersport Action
Argentina	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect
Austria	19:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	23:00	Begin
Bolivia	13:00	ESPN 3
Brazil	14:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play
Canada	13:00	TSN+
Chile	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	01:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	19:00	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	19:00	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	19:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	12:00	ESPN 3
Finland	20:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Germany	19:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	20:00	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	01:00	M Plus Live, Now Player
India	22:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	00:00	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Iraq	20:00	Almanasa
Italy	19:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	20:00	Gotv
Kosovo	19:00	Arena Premium 4
Laos	00:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Malta	19:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	11:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	19:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	18:00	SuperSport Action
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	19:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	13:00	ESPN 3
Peru	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Philippines	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	18:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Russia	20:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	19:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	01:00	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	19:00	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	19:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport Variety 3
Spain	19:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	19:00	TV4 Play
Thailand	00:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	20:00	S Sport+
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	18:00	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter
Vietnam	00:00	SCTV 22, SCTV Online


	Atlético Madrid		Girona

	1	X	2
	1.73	4	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.75	4.1
	1.72	3.95	4.45	Watch
	1.76	4.17	4.66
	1.79	4.09	4.38
	1.75	3.75	4.2
	1.8	4.12	4.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.52)	3.98 ↓ (4.46)	4.42 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
54.2%

Draw
24.1%

Girona
21.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.1%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

20.6%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid's form might have worsened.

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.1%	8.3%	5.6%

Atlético Madrid - Girona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (31 of 36 users predict this - 86.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 97.41%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (G) 18. Pubill M. 24. Le Normand R. 17. Hancko D. 3. Ruggeri M. 20. Simeone G. 21. Vargas O. 6. Koke 10. Baena A. 7. Griezmann A. (C) 22. Lookman A.	13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 4. Martinez A. (C) 16. Frances A. 12. Vitor Reis 24. Moreno A. 20. Witsel A. 23. Martin I. 21. Gil B. 18. Ounahi A. 3. Roca J. 15. Tsygankov V.
Substitutes
11. Almada T. 29. Belaid R. 32. Bonar J. 61. Cubo M. 34. Diaz J. 31. Esquivel S. (G) 15. Lenglet C. 37. Luque I. 47. Morcillo J. 1. Musso J. (G) 40. Puric A. 9. Sorloth A.	36. Artero R. 8. Beltran F. 1. Blanco R. (G) 17. Blind D. 14. Echeverri C. 25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 11. Lemar T. 5. Lopez D. 2. Rincon H. 7. Stuani C. 6. van de Beek D.
Coaches
Simeone D.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Lookman A. ⚽, Griezmann A. (A),
23', Le Normand R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Simeone G. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
56', Gil B. ↓, Stuani C. ↑,
56', Witsel A. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
61', Baena A. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
61', Vargas O. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
63', Roca J. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
63', Lookman A. ↓, Lenglet C. ↑,
77', Martinez A. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
85', Morcillo J. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).

Atlético is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 4.

In recent matches, Atlético has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Girona's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Girona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Atlético: Alvarez J. (Ankle Injury) Barrios P. (Muscle Injury) Cardoso J. (Contusion) Gimenez J. M. (Injury) Gonzalez N. (Muscle Injury) Llorente M. (Red Card) Mendoza R. (Muscle Injury) Molina N. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Girona: Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Portu (Knee Injury) Ruiz A. (Injury) Vanat V. (Injury) ter Stegen M. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:14. (average 2.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Atl. Madrid	9	7	1	1	19:8	11	22

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Atl. Madrid: 3.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Madrid - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
12.05.26	Osasuna - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Atlético Madrid - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.05.26	Arsenal - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.05.26	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWT
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
14.05.26	Girona - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
11.05.26	Rayo Vallecano - Girona	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Girona - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Valencia - Girona	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Girona - Betis	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
21.12.25	Girona - Atlético Madrid	0:3
25.05.25	Girona - Atlético Madrid	0:4
25.08.24	Atlético Madrid - Girona	3:0
13.04.24	Atlético Madrid - Girona	3:1
03.01.24	Girona - Atlético Madrid	4:3
13.03.23	Girona - Atlético Madrid	0:1
08.10.22	Atlético Madrid - Girona	2:1

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