Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 13

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Atlético Madrid B		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	5.25
	1.66	3.25	4.75
	1.71	3.3	5.2
	1.72	3.4	5.37
	1.72	3.35	4.77	Watch
	1.69	3.42	5.1
	1.74	3.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.94)	3.32 ↑ (3.01)	5.05 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
54.1%

Draw
27.7%

Mérida AD
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

30.6%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

29.7%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid B's performance.

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Atlético Madrid B - Mérida AD Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Madrid B will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gomis A. (G) 15. Martinez D. 2. Pascual M. 5. Kostis I. 3. Diaz J. 4. Bonar J. 18. Diallo Selu M. 6. Serrano J. 21. Garcia A. 9. Nino A. 24. Mollejo V.	1. Juanpa (G) 15. Prevedini M. 18. Falcon E. 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 22. Climent M. 10. Juanjo 28. del Cerro S. 11. Doncel C. 23. Busi 16. Garcia P. 9. Mizzian M.
Substitutes
20. Belaid R. 1. Diaz D. (G) 11. El Jebari S. 32. Fall S. 10. Gismera A. 14. Gonzalez J. 17. Luque I. 8. Mestanza A. 22. Perez P.	7. Alvaro J. 12. Beer J. 4. Bonaque M. 8. Eslava J. 3. Sergi 27. Tiago Leal 13. Vicente D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Pareja Alvarez L. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Mollejo V. ⚽,
41', Climent M. 🟨,
45', Garcia A. 🟨,
45+1', Serrano J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Pareja Alvarez L. ↓, Alvaro J. ↑,
57', Mizzian M. ↓, Bonaque M. ↑,
57', Garcia P. ↓, Eslava J. ↑,
57', Juanjo ↓, Sergi ↑,
58', Serrano J. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
58', Garcia A. ↓, Gismera A. ↑,
70', Diaz J. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
70', Mollejo V. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
74', Martinez D. 🟨,
77', Nino A. ↓, Belaid R. ↑,
78', Falcon E. ↓, Beer J. ↑,
82', Gomis A. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Atlético Madrid B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético Madrid B is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid B won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Madrid B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.11.24	Real Murcia - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Atlético Madrid B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Hércules - Atlético Madrid B	1:2 ✺
18.10.24	Atlético Madrid B - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Ibiza - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWTT
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.11.24	Mérida AD - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Alcorcón - Mérida AD	2:2 ✺
27.10.24	Mérida AD - Alcoyano	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Mérida AD - Betis B	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Antequera - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.01.24	Mérida AD - Atlético Madrid B	0:0
29.10.23	Atlético Madrid B - Mérida AD	1:1

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