Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Atlético Madrid B		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	2.05	2.95	3.3
	2.14	3.05	3.55
	2.17	3.1	3.58
	2.1	3.04	3.54	Watch
	2.08	3.15	3.51
	2.14	3.05	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.13)	3.03 ↑ (2.98)	3.49 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
43.5%

Draw
30.2%

Real Madrid Castilla
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

30.9%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

30%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Atlético Madrid B - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iturbe A. (G) 23. Gimenez C. 2. Pascual M. 12. Spina G. 3. Diaz J. 4. Bonar J. 18. Diallo Selu M. 6. Serrano J. 7. Bri D. 9. Nino A. 24. Mollejo V.	13. Fran (G) 22. Jimenez D. 29. Rivas M. 5. Asencio R. 4. Pujol E. 9. Munoz V. 6. Andres C. 26. De Llanos H. 17. Ruiz D. 27. Fortuny P. 7. Garcia G.
Substitutes
20. Belaid R. 31. Embadje F. (G) 21. Garcia A. 10. Gismera A. 14. Gonzalez J. 27. Janneh O. 5. Kostis I. 17. Luque I. 15. Martinez D. 8. Mestanza A. 26. Monserrate J. 19. Raihani A.	16. Antonio David 21. De Leon J. 2. Lorenzo 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 28. Ribes K. 36. Yanez D. 23. Yusi 19. Zuniga L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Bri D. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
25', 1 - 0, Nino A. ⚽,
44', Mollejo V. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Garcia G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Mollejo V. ↓, Janneh O. ↑,
58', Nino A. ↓, Belaid R. ↑,
61', Ruiz D. 🟨,
65', Ruiz D. ↓, Yusi ↑,
65', De Llanos H. ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
78', Diaz J. 🟨,
83', Gimenez C. ↓, Kostis I. ↑,
83', Diaz J. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
86', Serrano J. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid B won 2.

Atlético Madrid B is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Madrid B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético Madrid B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid B won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:16 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Madrid B won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.10.24	Hércules - Atlético Madrid B	1:2 ✺
18.10.24	Atlético Madrid B - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Ibiza - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Atlético Madrid B - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Fuenlabrada - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTTTW
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.10.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Alcorcón - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Sevilla B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Hércules	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.03.24	Atlético Madrid B - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0
16.09.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Madrid B	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.03.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Madrid B	3:1
13.12.20	Atlético Madrid B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.19	Atlético Madrid B - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0
20.01.19	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Madrid B	1:3
02.09.18	Atlético Madrid B - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2

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