Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Atlético de Madrid CD (Alcala de Henares) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aranda Delgado J. M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	Atlético Madrid B		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.25
	2.70	3.25	2.25
	2.70	3.15	2.30
	2.79	3.44	2.46
	2.89	3.49	2.29	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.4
	2.87	3.39	2.35
	2.8	3.35	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.93)	3.31 ↓ (3.47)	2.32 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
32.9%

Draw
27.7%

Zaragoza
39.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.7%

26.7%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

26.4%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Atlético Madrid B - Zaragoza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Astralaga A. (C) 14. Hueso R. 29. Gil Rodriguez M. 4. Yaakobishvili A. 22. Sola A. 20. Alcaniz E. 15. Garcia D. 16. Helguera T. 19. Domenech M. 10. Cubo M. 21. Kamate I.	1. Westerveld S. (G) 25. Sangalli M. 14. Rubo 21. Gonzalez D. 3. Pereira R. 16. Terrer L. 6. Ademo P. 11. Jardi J. 19. Jamelli (C) 23. Urena O. 22. Espiau Hernandez E. D.
Substitutes
17. Alvaro J. 27. Aznar J. 31. Coulibaly I. (G) 38. Cuellar M. 1. de Luis M. (G) 2. Diez S. 5. Gimenez C. 7. Koke 35. Lis A. 6. Munoz D. 32. Pan Abajo P. 18. Seidu T.	4. Barrachina H. 7. Cuenca M. A. 20. Delgado J. 18. Escudero S. 2. Gabilondo J. 8. Herrera A. 26. Monzon D. 13. Pena A. (G) 10. Pinilla H. 15. Saidu Y. 9. Sans P. 5. Tachi
Coaches
Torres F.	Ibai

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Kamate I. ⚽, Hueso R. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ⚽, Jamelli (A),
31', Alcaniz E. 🟨,
39', Urena O. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
46', Urena O. ↓, Barrachina H. ↑,
54', Yaakobishvili A. ↓, Lis A. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Domenech M. ⚽, Hueso R. (A),
66', Jamelli (Penalty Awarded),
68', 2 - 2, Rubo ⚽, Espiau Hernandez E. D. (A),
70', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
70', Jamelli ↓, Sans P. ↑,
73', Helguera T. ↓, Alvaro J. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Gil Rodriguez M. ⚽, Alvaro J. (A),
79', Domenech M. ↓, Seidu T. ↑,
79', Kamate I. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
79', Alcaniz E. ↓, Koke ↑,
81', Munoz D. 🟨,
82', Pereira R. ↓, Cuenca M. A. ↑,
82', Terrer L. ↓, Saidu Y. ↑,
88', 4 - 2, Munoz D. ⚽,
90+2', Ibai 🟨,
90+8', Seidu T. 🟨,
90+9', 4 - 3, Rubo ⚽, Jardi J. (A),
90+12', 4 - 4, Jardi J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 1st in the Promotion - LaLiga2).

In recent outings, Atlético Madrid B has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Zaragoza is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Zaragoza may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Zaragoza	9	6	2	1	17:10	7	20
14	Atl. Madrid B	9	2	4	3	17:15	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Madrid B - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.66%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.10.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Madrid B	3:2 ✺
25.09.26	Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal B	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Huesca - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético Madrid B - Real Murcia	4:0 ✺
06.09.26	Hércules - Atlético Madrid B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLTWW
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.10.26	Zaragoza - Teruel	4:1 ✺
25.09.26	Ibiza - Zaragoza	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Zaragoza - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Zaragoza	3:4 ✺
05.09.26	Zaragoza - Antequera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

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