Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Mansillés		Guijuelo

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.82	2.2
	1.58	3.78	5.48	Watch
	3.4	2.7	2.2
	3.46	2.85	2.17
	3.4	2.9	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.66)	3.01 ↑ (2.99)	2.84 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mansillés
32.6%

Draw
32.7%

Guijuelo
34.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

30.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

31.1%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mansillés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Guijuelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mansillés than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Atlético Mansillés - Guijuelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

Mansillés has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guijuelo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mansillés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mansillés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Guijuelo	7	4	0	3	12:6	6	12
9	Mansilles	7	3	2	2	9:7	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mansillés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
10.01.26	Atlético Mansillés - Leonesa B	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Mojados - Atlético Mansillés	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Mansillés	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Mansillés - Becerril	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Arandina - Atlético Mansillés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTTT
- CD Guijuelo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.01.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Guijuelo	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Guijuelo - Numancia B	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Palencia CA - Guijuelo	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Guijuelo - Villaralbo	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Colegios Diocesanos - Guijuelo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.09.25	Guijuelo - Atlético Mansillés	1:0

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