The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Mineiro 78.2%
Draw 15.9%
Tombense 5.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.4%
22.8%
10.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.3%
18.7%
13.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Mineiro's performance.
Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-23.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Mineiro that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tombense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Mineiro - Tombense Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Everson (G) 2. Natanael 14. Vitor Hugo 4. Ruan Tressoldi 17. Igor Gomes 8. Maycon 10. Gustavo Scarpa 16. Lodi R. 7. Hulk (C) 11. Bernard 92. Dudu
1. Matheus Aurelio (G) 2. Julio Henrique 3. Wesley 4. Roger Carvalho (C) 6. Xavier 5. Wanderson 8. Dyego 11. Jefferson Renan 10. Pedro Oliveira 7. Rafinha 9. Julio Cesar
Substitutes
5. Alexsander 6. Alonso J. 28. Cuello 21. Franco A. 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 32. Luis Gustavo 27. Minda A. 36. Pascini K. 46. Pedro Cobra (G) 19. Reinier 33. Rony 40. Vitao
13. Auro 14. Breno Roma 18. Cleiton 23. Davi Schneider (G) 15. Diego Leandro 12. Douglas Marques (G) 21. Felipinho 17. Joao Vitor 22. Jupi 19. Luiz Felipe 16. PH 20. Ronald
Coaches
Sampaoli J.
Borges C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Wesley 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Julio Cesar ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
55', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Jupi ↑,
58', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Cuello ↑,
67', Maycon ↓, Franco A. ↑,
69', Dyego ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
69', Xavier ↓, PH ↑,
72', Wesley 🟨,
74', Jefferson Renan ↓, Diego Leandro ↑,
76', Natanael ↓, Reinier ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tombense has had a series of home games.
In this match, Atlético MG is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:8. (average 1.9:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
Brazil
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Everson (G) 
Alonso J. 
Cuello 
Franco A. 
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