The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Onubense 35.5%
Draw 30.6%
Utrera 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
28.6%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
28.3%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Onubense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Onubense's form might have worsened.
Utrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utrera's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Onubense than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Onubense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utrera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Onubense - Utrera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
59', 🟥,
75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
Onubense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Utrera has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Onubense might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Onubense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
Including home match between the teams, Onubense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Watch
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