The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Ottawa 35.6%
Draw 26%
Supra du Québec 38.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.9%
24.9%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
24.8%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Ottawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Ottawa's form might have worsened.
Supra du Québec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Supra du Québec's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Ottawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Supra du Québec than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Supra du Québec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Ottawa - Supra du Québec Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Kalongo C. (G) 28. Cloutier L. 18. Mbomio R. 84. Kozlovskiy S. 20. Coulanges J. 6. Gutierrez D. 37. Arnaud T. 11. Antinoro G. 13. Tabla B. (C) 7. Garcia E. 21. Fleuriau Chateau N.
32. Milli J. (G) 15. Brault-Guillard Z. 2. Auguste C. 4. Chretien M. 11. Abzi D. 33. Sissoko A. (C) 6. Biello A. 10. Rea S. 9. Kwemi L. A. 99. Conde I. 92. Santos N.
Substitutes
14. Assi J. 2. Castro J. 1. Crampton T. (G) 3. Dunn J. 9. Escoto A. 30. Habibullah K. 19. Khoury R.
7. Choiniere D. 80. Diop M. (G) 8. El Kalkouli O. 23. Fernandez Z. 3. Lebeuf T. 19. McInerney J. 24. Mlah S.
Coaches
Gustavo Leal
Razzaghi N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Tabla B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Biello A. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Rea S. ⚽,
66', Arnaud T. ↓, Khoury R. ↑,
66', Garcia E. ↓, Habibullah K. ↑,
70', Santos N. ↓, Choiniere D. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Kwemi L. A. ⚽, Abzi D. (A),
76', Antinoro G. ↓, Escoto A. ↑,
76', Gutierrez D. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
76', Mbomio R. ↓, Assi J. ↑,
80', Kwemi L. A. ↓, Mlah S. ↑,
90', Rea S. 🟨,
90+3', Abzi D. ↓, Fernandez Z. ↑,
90+3', Rea S. ↓, El Kalkouli O. ↑,
90+3', Conde I. ↓, McInerney J. ↑,
Preview
In recent outings, Atlético Ottawa has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Supra du Québec is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Supra du Québec may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Ottawa has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:10 (averaging 2.4:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Ottawa against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 4:3 per game).