Match Info

Date: 22 May 2022, Sunday


	Atlético Paraná		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	1.98
	4	2.8	2
	3.6	3	2.01
	4.14	2.83	1.93
	3.8	2.9	2
	3.84	3.15	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.26)	2.95 ↓ (3.1)	1.98 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paraná
23.6%

Draw
30.7%

Gimnasia y Tiro
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.8%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paraná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Paraná than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Atlético Paraná - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Atlético Paraná is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnasia y Tiro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gimnasia y Tiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gimnasia y Tiro will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Paraná
Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.05.22	Unión de Sunchales - Atlético Paraná	1:0 ✺
11.05.22	Atlético Paraná - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	2:3 ✺
30.04.22	Atlético Paraná - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Atlético Paraná	4:1 ✺
17.04.22	Atlético Paraná - Douglas Haig	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLLW
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.05.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - Unión de Sunchales	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1 ✺
30.04.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - General San Martín de Formosa	0:2 ✺
24.04.22	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLTW

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