Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Paraná		Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	1.9	3	4
	1.89	3.15	3.85
	1.9	2.84	4.04
	1.91	2.97	4.2
	1.91	3.2	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.32)	3.04 ↑ (2.74)	3.95 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paraná
47.5%

Draw
29.7%

Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu
22.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.6%

32.7%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

33%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paraná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Paraná's performance.

Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paraná than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Paraná that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Atlético Paraná - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlético Paraná will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Juventud Unida will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventud Unida: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Paraná won 0.

Atlético Paraná has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Juventud Unida is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Paraná will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Atlético Paraná won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Paraná won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Paraná
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.10.22	Boca Unidos - Atlético Paraná	0:0 ✺
25.09.22	Atlético Paraná - Juventud Antoniana	1:3 ✺
18.09.22	Crucero del Norte - Atlético Paraná	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Atlético Paraná - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlético Paraná	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLLL
- Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.10.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:2 ✺
26.09.22	Unión de Sunchales - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	2:1 ✺
18.09.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	General San Martín de Formosa - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	2:0 ✺
04.09.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Central Norte	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.06.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Atlético Paraná	4:1
06.03.19	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Atlético Paraná	0:0
03.02.19	Atlético Paraná - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	1:1
07.11.18	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Atlético Paraná	1:1
19.09.18	Atlético Paraná - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	0:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.03.17	Atlético Paraná - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	0:0
04.09.16	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Atlético Paraná	1:1

Atlético Paraná - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu