Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday


	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu		Defensores de Pronunciamiento

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.25	8
	1.6	3.6	5.5
	1.63	3.4	5
	2.33	3	2.53
	1.36	4.6	6.8	Watch
	1.63	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.55)	3.56 ↑ (2.72)	5.51 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu
56.4%

Draw
26.5%

Defensores de Pronunciamiento
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

33.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

36.1%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu's performance.

Defensores de Pronunciamiento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores de Pronunciamiento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Pronunciamiento than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Pronunciamiento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Defensores de Pronunciamiento Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Juventud Unida will win (votes: 24 - 85.7%). Def Pronunciamiento will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventud Unida: 72.7% – 98.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventud Unida won 2.

Juventud Unida is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defensores de Pronunciamiento is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Defensores de Pronunciamiento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Juventud Unida won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventud Unida won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.09.22	General San Martín de Formosa - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	2:0 ✺
04.09.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Central Norte	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	1:0 ✺
24.08.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Douglas Haig	3:0 ✺
20.08.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWL
- Defensores de Pronunciamiento
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.09.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Boca Unidos	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Juventud Antoniana - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Crucero del Norte	4:0 ✺
24.08.22	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	0:0 ✺
20.08.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Atlético Paraná	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.06.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	1:1
17.10.21	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	3:0
18.07.21	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	2:1
08.03.20	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:0
13.10.19	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	0:0
14.03.19	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:4
14.02.19	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	2:0

Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Defensores de Pronunciamiento: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide