Match Info

Date: 20 July 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Paraná		Sarmiento de Resistencia

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.8	2.25
	3.25	2.6	2.35
	3.1	2.8	2.32
	3.28	2.86	2.22
	3.2	2.7	2.35
	3.08	3.02	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.55)	2.8 ↑ (2.79)	2.3 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paraná
28.5%

Draw
32.3%

Sarmiento de Resistencia
39.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.6%

32.6%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

32.2%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paraná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paraná than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	35.7%	42.9%

Atlético Paraná - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Atlético Paraná will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarmiento: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Atlético Paraná is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sarmiento is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sarmiento will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Paraná won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Paraná
Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.07.22	Sportivo Belgrano - Atlético Paraná	4:1 ✺
10.07.22	Atlético Paraná - Racing de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
02.07.22	Atlético Paraná - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:2 ✺
26.06.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Atlético Paraná	4:1 ✺
22.06.22	Atlético Paraná - Boca Unidos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLLT
- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.07.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
10.07.22	Unión de Sunchales - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:1 ✺
03.07.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:1 ✺
27.06.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - General San Martín de Formosa	3:2 ✺
23.06.22	Central Norte - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.04.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Atlético Paraná	0:0

Atlético Paraná - Sarmiento de Resistencia