Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday


	Central Norte		Sarmiento de Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.87	2.95	4
	1.83	3.2	4.2
	1.24	5.06	11.2
	1.48	3.45	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.85)	3.67 ↑ (3.11)	6.55 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
59.4%

Draw
26%

Sarmiento de Resistencia
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.1%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

27.8%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Norte's performance.

Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de Resistencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central Norte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Resistencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Central Norte - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Central Norte will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Magno D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 2.

Central Norte in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sarmiento is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Central Norte is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Central Norte to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Central Norte won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.04.24	Juventud Antoniana - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Central Norte - Crucero del Norte	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Central Norte - Unión de Sunchales	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Boca Unidos - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWWWT
- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.04.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Crucero del Norte - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.09.23	Central Norte - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0
22.07.23	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Central Norte	1:2
29.05.23	Central Norte - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:3
01.04.23	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Central Norte	1:0
01.10.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Central Norte	1:1
23.06.22	Central Norte - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0
25.08.21	Central Norte - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:0

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