Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 17

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Atlético Porcuna		Almeria B

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.87	2.3
	3	2.9	2.12
	2.85	2.95	2.27
	2.9	3.02	2.33
	3.05	2.85	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.01)	2.92 (2.92)	2.29 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Porcuna
30.4%

Draw
30.6%

Almeria B
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

29.8%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Porcuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Almeria B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almeria B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Porcuna - Almeria B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Almeria B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético Porcuna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Porcuna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.01.23	Malaga B - Atlético Porcuna	1:1 ✺
17.12.22	Arenas Armilla - Atlético Porcuna	3:1 ✺
11.12.22	Atlético Porcuna - Torreperogil	0:0 ✺
08.12.22	Torredonjimeno - Atlético Porcuna	2:0 ✺
03.12.22	Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Vega	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLTLW
- Almeria B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.01.23	Almeria B - Maracena	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Almeria B - El Palo	3:0 ✺
11.12.22	Torre Del Mar - Almeria B	4:1 ✺
08.12.22	Almeria B - Motril	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Marbella - Almeria B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.09.22	Almeria B - Atlético Porcuna	2:0
17.04.22	Almeria B - Atlético Porcuna	5:0
12.12.21	Atlético Porcuna - Almeria B	3:2
13.03.21	Atlético Porcuna - Almeria B	2:1

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