Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 15

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Almeria B		El Palo

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.2	2.88	2.9
	2.18	3	2.95
	2.2	3.05	3.05
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.19	3.16	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.29)	2.98 ↓ (3.06)	3.01 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almeria B
40.5%

Draw
29.9%

El Palo
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

30.6%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almeria B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Almeria B - El Palo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almeria B won 1.

Almeria B has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches El Palo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almeria B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Almeria B won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Almeria B won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almeria B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
11.12.22	Torre Del Mar - Almeria B	4:1 ✺
08.12.22	Almeria B - Motril	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Marbella - Almeria B	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Almeria B - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Huétor Tájar - Almeria B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- CD El Palo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
11.12.22	El Palo - Malaga B	0:0 ✺
08.12.22	Arenas Armilla - El Palo	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	El Palo - Torreperogil	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Torredonjimeno - El Palo	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	El Palo - Huétor Vega	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
06.03.22	Almeria B - El Palo	2:0
07.11.21	El Palo - Almeria B	1:1
16.05.21	El Palo - Almeria B	1:1
28.02.20	Almeria B - El Palo	0:0
13.10.19	El Palo - Almeria B	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.04.18	El Palo - Almeria B	1:0
12.11.17	Almeria B - El Palo	0:0

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