Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 21

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Atlético Porcuna		Marbella

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.4	1.55
	4.1	3.1	1.72
	5.7	3.57	1.54
	6.45	3.7	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↑ (4.42)	3.44 ↑ (3.15)	1.58 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Porcuna
16.6%

Draw
26.2%

Marbella
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

28.3%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

27.6%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marbella's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Atlético Porcuna - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs)).

Atlético Porcuna is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marbella is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Marbella is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Porcuna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Porcuna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
05.02.23	Real Jaén - Atlético Porcuna	7:1 ✺
29.01.23	Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Tájar	1:3 ✺
22.01.23	Huracán Melilla - Atlético Porcuna	1:2 ✺
15.01.23	Atlético Porcuna - Almeria B	1:2 ✺
08.01.23	Malaga B - Atlético Porcuna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWLT
- Marbella FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
05.02.23	Marbella - Maracena	4:0 ✺
29.01.23	El Palo - Marbella	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Marbella - Torre Del Mar	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Motril - Marbella	1:4 ✺
08.01.23	Marbella - Málaga Juniors	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
16.10.22	Marbella - Atlético Porcuna	1:0
13.03.22	Atlético Porcuna - Marbella	0:2
14.11.21	Marbella - Atlético Porcuna	2:0

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