Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Atlético Saguntino		Atzeneta

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.85
	1.85	3.33	4.05
	1.83	3.33	4.14	Watch
	1.8	3	4.4
	1.94	3.36	3.89
	1.88	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.4)	3.2 ↓ (4.1)	4.26 ↓ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Saguntino
49.9%

Draw
28.6%

Atzeneta
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

22.4%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

21.7%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Saguntino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Saguntino's form might have worsened.

Atzeneta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atzeneta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Saguntino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atzeneta than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atzeneta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Saguntino - Atzeneta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saguntino won 3.

Saguntino is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atzeneta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Saguntino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Saguntino is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Saguntino won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Saguntino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.2:0.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Saguntino	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7
15	Atzeneta	5	0	4	1	4:5	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
17.01.26	Utiel - Atlético Saguntino	1:3 ✺
14.01.26	Alzira - Atlético Saguntino	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Hércules B - Atlético Saguntino	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Atlético Saguntino - Vall de Uxó	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético Saguntino - Castellonense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWT
- Atzeneta UE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
21.01.26	La Nucía - Atzeneta	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Atzeneta - Hércules B	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Atzeneta - Castellonense	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Atzeneta	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Atzeneta - Villarreal C	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
14.09.25	Atzeneta - Atlético Saguntino	1:2
16.03.25	Atlético Saguntino - Atzeneta	4:1
04.12.24	Atzeneta - Atlético Saguntino	0:0
15.05.22	Atlético Saguntino - Atzeneta	1:0 ET
13.04.22	Atlético Saguntino - Atzeneta	0:0
08.12.21	Atzeneta - Atlético Saguntino	0:1
08.02.20	Atzeneta - Atlético Saguntino	0:0

Atlético Saguntino - Atzeneta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide