Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 17

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Atlético Santa Cruz		Cartagena B

	1	X	2
	2	3.05	3.45
	10.88	5.08	1.26	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.5
	1.99	3.06	3.68
	2	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (1.76)	3.42 ↑ (3.34)	3.13 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Santa Cruz
30.1%

Draw
33.4%

Cartagena B
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

27.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

26.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Santa Cruz's form might have worsened.

Cartagena B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cartagena B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+22.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Santa Cruz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagena B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Santa Cruz - Cartagena B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 🟥,
71', 0 - 2, ⚽,
88', (Penalty Awarded),
89', 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Santa Cruz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cartagena B's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Santa Cruz is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Santa Cruz	5	1	3	1	8:8	0	6
15	FC Cartagena SAD B	5	1	2	2	6:8	-2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Cartagena B - the odds 4.3 are the expected chance of winning is 21.16%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Santa Cruz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.01.26	Real Murcia B - Atlético Santa Cruz	3:1 ✺
17.12.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - Yeclano B	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Minerva - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - Pulpileño	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Águilas B - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWTW
- Cartagena B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.01.26	Cartagena B - Santomera	4:4 ✺
20.12.25	Caravaca - Cartagena B	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Cartagena B - Cieza	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bala Azul - Cartagena B	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Cartagena B - Olímpico de Totana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTTLL

Atlético Santa Cruz - Cartagena B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide