Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Real Murcia B		Atlético Santa Cruz

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.65
	2.02	3.14	3.67	Watch
	2	3	3.5
	1.98	3.34	3.76
	2.2	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.95)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia B
44.8%

Draw
29.5%

Atlético Santa Cruz
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.4%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

29.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Atlético Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Real Murcia B - Atlético Santa Cruz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Llobell R. ⚽,
6', 2 - 0, Gimenez Sanchez E. ⚽,
25', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Murcia B have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Santa Cruz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Murcia B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Murcia B could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Santa Cruz	5	1	3	1	8:8	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.12.25	Santomera - Real Murcia B	0:4 ✺
07.12.25	Cieza - Real Murcia B	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Murcia B - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Olímpico de Totana - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Real Murcia B - Cartagena B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTTW
- Atlético Santa Cruz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
17.12.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - Yeclano B	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Minerva - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - Pulpileño	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Águilas B - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:3 ✺
15.11.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - UCAM Murcia B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTWL

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