Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 8

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	1.86	2.82	5	Watch
	1.92	2.82	4.65	Watch
	2.02	2.82	4.95
	1.98	2.69	5.34	Watch
	2	2.63	4.75
	1.94	2.89	4.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.88)	2.78 ↓ (2.85)	4.91 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
47.6%

Draw
33.5%

Nueva Chicago
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

32.3%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

32.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rago F. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Galeano L. 6. Ostachuk P. 3. Sosa R. 8. Castro Ponce T. 5. Rivero B. 10. Bernardi C. 7. Fedele L. 11. Rodriguez I. 9. Quintana A.	1. Masuero F. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Gissi D. 6. Paz G. 3. Ferracutti G. 5. Mendez E. 10. Vega G. 8. Rodriguez T. 11. Trindade G. 7. Ocampo T. 9. Cocimano S.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez F. 17. Benitez K. 14. Bisanz F. 20. Castro F. 13. Gelos V. 19. Ibarra M. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 16. Mendoza G. 15. Urtasun Nahuel	13. Arroyo D. 20. Barros D. 17. Bergara M. 15. Cardozo E. 12. Jachfe L. (G) 19. Petrecca N. 14. Ramirez R. 18. Romero M. S. 16. Zalazar R. E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Bernardi C. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Mendez E. ⚽,
45', Paz G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, Cocimano S. ⚽, Palazzo B. (A),
53', Fedele L. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
63', Quintana A. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
63', Rivero B. ↓, Bisanz F. ↑,
66', Trindade G. ↓, Bergara M. ↑,
66', Ocampo T. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
66', Vega G. ↓, Zalazar R. E. ↑,
78', Bisanz F. 🟨,
78', Garcia M. ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
78', Bisanz F. ↓, Ibarra M. ↑,
79', Cocimano S. ↓, Romero M. S. ↑,
79', Rodriguez T. 🟨,
82', Masuero F. 🟨,
86', Gissi D. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Galeano L. ⚽, Rodriguez I. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.

Recent form of Atlanta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Nueva Chicago has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nueva Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlanta is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlanta Buenos Aires - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.04%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Copa Argentina
01.04.26	Instituto Córdoba - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.03.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Temperley - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Maipú	3:1 ✺
02.03.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWT
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.03.26	Nueva Chicago - All Boys	0:0 ✺
23.03.26	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia y Tiro	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Nueva Chicago	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Nueva Chicago	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Nueva Chicago - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.08.24	Nueva Chicago - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1
25.03.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Nueva Chicago	0:0
16.05.22	Nueva Chicago - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0
02.08.21	Nueva Chicago - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0
22.03.21	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Nueva Chicago	0:0
08.03.20	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Nueva Chicago	2:0
14.09.19	Nueva Chicago - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:2

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