Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 20

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Chacarita Juniors (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Chacarita Juniors		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.98	2.9	4
				Watch
	1.91	3.08	4.84
				Watch
	2	2.9	4
	2.06	2.91	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.66)	2.98 ↓ (3.5)	4.26 ↓ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacarita Juniors
47%

Draw
31.2%

Nueva Chicago
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

26.3%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chacarita Juniors's form might have worsened.

Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chacarita Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Chacarita Juniors - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chacarita will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chacarita (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Nueva Chicago (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chacarita (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nueva Chicago (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 2. Rebola A. 5. Bravo F. 6. Quiroga A. 4. Gonzalez J. 10. Figueroa V. (C) 11. Ortiz T. 8. Napolitano A. 3. Chaves N. 9. Apa S. 7. Ciccolini L.	1. Ferrero F. (C) 4. Cortes F. 2. Rodriguez J. 6. Aguirre A. 3. Arroyo D. 5. Mendez E. 8. Ortiz S. 11. Molinas I. A. 7. Rodriguez I. 10. Cortes B. 9. Maggi I.
Substitutes
14. Acosta S. 13. Andueza F. 15. Araujo A. 16. Blanco R. 17. Gargiulo V. 18. Melendez M. 20. Rivero H. 19. Rodriguez Matias 12. Strumia J. (G)	15. Abello D. 19. Almaraz A. 12. Diaz L. (G) 16. Martinez A. 18. Mendoza J. 17. Montenegro M. 14. Motroni J. 20. Nouet F. 13. Zalazar C.
Coaches
Azconzabal J.	Lotito G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ciccolini L. ↓, Araujo A. ↑,
57', Molinas I. A. ↓, Nouet F. ↑,
66', Napolitano A. ↓, Rivero H. ↑,
83', Arroyo D. 🟨,
87', Figueroa V. ↓, Gargiulo V. ↑,
87', Chaves N. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
90+6', Ortiz S. ↓, Abello D. ↑,
90+6', Arroyo D. ↓, Montenegro M. ↑,
90+12', Cortes B. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
90+12', Maggi I. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacarita won 1.

Chacarita is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Nueva Chicago has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Chacarita is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chacarita won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chacarita won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.06.25	San Telmo - Chacarita Juniors	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Chacarita Juniors - Agropecuario Argentino	3:0 ✺
01.06.25	Chacarita Juniors - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Chacarita Juniors - Central Norte	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLTW
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.06.25	Nueva Chicago - Colón	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	San Telmo - Nueva Chicago	2:2 ✺
08.06.25	Nueva Chicago - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
02.06.25	Nueva Chicago - Temperley	0:1 ✺
28.05.25	Almirante Brown - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.02.25	Nueva Chicago - Chacarita Juniors	1:1
10.04.22	Chacarita Juniors - Nueva Chicago	3:1
08.08.21	Chacarita Juniors - Nueva Chicago	2:3
30.03.21	Nueva Chicago - Chacarita Juniors	1:1
17.03.19	Nueva Chicago - Chacarita Juniors	1:1
23.07.17	Nueva Chicago - Chacarita Juniors	1:1
10.03.17	Chacarita Juniors - Nueva Chicago	2:3

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