Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 17 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)


	Atlanta United		Colorado Rapids

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	5	Watch
	1.63	4	4.75
	1.64	4.1	4.8
	1.68	4.27	4.95
	1.63	3.9	5
	1.64	4.15	4.85	Watch
	1.65	4.1	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.52)	4.07 ↓ (4.38)	4.86 ↓ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United
57.4%

Draw
23.2%

Colorado Rapids
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

21.4%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

20.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Colorado Rapids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Atlanta United - Colorado Rapids Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlanta United will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

Atlanta has the most likely position - 3 (9.86%), project points - 50, currently - 18, a good chance of playoffs (77%), a very small chance of supporters shield (2%), a very small chance of win league (5%).

Colorado has the most likely position - 11 (9.8%), project points - 42, currently - 12, a good chance of playoffs (53%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 42, small importance 22, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Atlanta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colorado is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Colorado could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlanta is a favorite.

There will not play in Atlanta: Alonso O. (Knee Injury) Gutman A. (Red Card) Guzan B. (Injury)

There will not play in Colorado: Galvan B. A. (Red Card) Keita A. (Injury) Max (Injury) Price J. (Injury) Rodriguez A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Colorado: Bassett C. (Injury) Beitashour S. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United
MLS
13.05.23	Atlanta United - Charlotte	1:3 ✺
06.05.23	Inter Miami - Atlanta United	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Nashville SC - Atlanta United	3:1 ✺
US Open Cup
26.04.23	Atlanta United - Memphis 901	1:2 ✺
MLS
23.04.23	Atlanta United - Chicago Fire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- Colorado Rapids
MLS
13.05.23	Colorado Rapids - Philadelphia Union	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
09.05.23	Sacramento Republic - Colorado Rapids	2:4 ✺
MLS
06.05.23	Los Angeles Galaxy - Colorado Rapids	1:3 ✺
29.04.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Colorado Rapids	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
26.04.23	Colorado Rapids - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
05.03.22	Colorado Rapids - Atlanta United	3:0
27.04.19	Atlanta United - Colorado Rapids	1:0
15.09.18	Colorado Rapids - Atlanta United	0:3
24.06.17	Atlanta United - Colorado Rapids	1:0

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