The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlanta United 35.8%
Draw 24.4%
Chicago Fire 39.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.7%
25%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
25.2%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Atlanta United - Chicago Fire Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hoyos L. (G) 55. Jacob T. 27. Diaz P. 6. Alonso J. 3. Baez E. 14. Amaro M. 11. Giuliano Galoppo 59. Miranchuk Al. 35. Fortune A. 10. Almiron M. (C) 36. Embolo B.
1. Brady C. (G) 24. Dean J. 21. Hanche-Olsen A. 4. Mbokazi M. 32. Allen N. 6. Saletros A. (C) 42. D'Avilla D. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 11. Zinckernagel P. 9. Lewandowski R. 19. Bamba J.
Substitutes
7. Alzate S. 20. Brennan L. 47. Edwards M. 42. Hibbert J. (G) 4. Mihaj E. 8. Muyumba T. 22. Picault F. 48. Sanchez C. 19. Sergio Santos
2. Barroso L. 44. Cohen J. (G) 12. Dithejane P. 18. Gomez J. 15. Gutman A. 23. Mekvabishvili A. 35. Oregel S. 22. Pineda M. 29. Poreba D.
Coaches
Martino G.
Berhalter G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Jacob T. ⚽, Almiron M. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Saletros A. ⚽,
38', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', D'Avilla D. ↓, Mekvabishvili A. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Mekvabishvili A. ⚽,
59', Hoyos L. 🟨,
60', 1 - 3, Zinckernagel P. ⚽, Saletros A. (A),
61', Fortune A. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
62', Miranchuk Al. ↓, Muyumba T. ↑,
67', 2 - 3, Embolo B. ⚽, Baez E. (A),
69', Lewandowski R. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
69', Allen N. ↓, Dithejane P. ↑,
69', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Gutman A. ↑,
74', Diaz P. 🟨,
79', Mekvabishvili A. 🟨,
80', Diaz P. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
81', Mbokazi M. 🟨,
84', Gomez J. 🟨,
84', Alonso J. 🟨,
87', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
90+1', Bamba J. ↓, Barroso L. ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 4th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
Chicago is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Atlanta: Chica D.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Chicago: Elliott J.
(Yellow Cards)
Lod R.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Atlanta: Reilly W.
(Ankle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Chicago: Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
Rogers S.
(Lower-Body Injury).
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:26 (averaging 1.5:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlanta against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 22:7 goals (averaging 2.4:0.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Chicago Fire - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.31%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Hoyos L. (G) 
Diaz P. 
Alonso J. 
Amaro M. 
Miranchuk Al. 
Fortune A. 
Embolo B. 
Brady C. (G) 
Hanche-Olsen A. 
Mbokazi M. 
Allen N. 
Saletros A. (C) 
D'Avilla D. 
Zinckernagel P. 
Lewandowski R. 
Alzate S. 
Hibbert J. (G) 
Mihaj E. 
Muyumba T. 
Picault F. 
Sergio Santos 
Barroso L. 
Mekvabishvili A. 
