Match Info

USA: US OPEN CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 9 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento)


	Sacramento Republic		Colorado Rapids

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.45
	2.45	3.7	2.45
	2.58	3.64	2.62
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.5	3.44	2.6	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.1)	3.39 ↑ (3.38)	2.5 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
36.4%

Draw
27%

Colorado Rapids
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26.4%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

27.5%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sacramento Republic's performance.

Colorado Rapids has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colorado Rapids might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sacramento Republic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colorado Rapids could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Sacramento Republic - Colorado Rapids Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Colorado will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Colorado could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
29.04.23	Tulsa - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Sacramento Republic - Detroit City	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Sacramento Republic - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	4:0 ✺
08.04.23	San Antonio - Sacramento Republic	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Sacramento Republic - Louisville City	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWTW
- Colorado Rapids
MLS
06.05.23	Los Angeles Galaxy - Colorado Rapids	1:3 ✺
29.04.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Colorado Rapids	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
26.04.23	Colorado Rapids - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	3:1 ✺
MLS
22.04.23	Colorado Rapids - St. Louis City	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Charlotte - Colorado Rapids	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWTT

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