Match Info

MLS

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)

Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	EA Sports FC


	Atlanta United		Toronto FC

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	4.33	Watch
	1.63	4.1	4.75
	1.72	3.95	4.45	Watch
	1.8	4.01	4.37
	1.73	3.97	4.29	Watch
	1.62	4	4.6
	1.8	4	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2)	3.99 ↑ (3.98)	4.46 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United
55%

Draw
23.7%

Toronto FC
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

23.9%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

23.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta United's performance.

Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	13.8%	6.9%

Atlanta United - Toronto FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlanta United will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlanta United will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Hibbert J. (G) 2. Hernandez R. 5. Gregersen S. 4. Mihaj E. 18. Amador P. 99. Slisz B. 8. Muyumba T. 9. Lobjanidze S. 59. Miranchuk Al. 20. Brennan L. 10. Almiron M. (C)	1. Johnson S. (G) 19. Franklin K. 5. Long K. 17. Rosted S. 22. Laryea R. 14. Coello A. 21. Osorio J. 23. Dominguez M. 7. Corbeanu T. 9. Brynhildsen O. 10. Mihailovic D.
Substitutes
7. Alzate S. 6. Berrocal J. 1. Guzan B. (G) 11. Lennon B. 13. Leo Afonso 28. Reilly W. 66. Sessock N. 14. Thiare J. 30. Togashi C.	71. Cimermancic M. 11. Etienne D. 90. Gavran L. (G) 78. Henry M. 29. Kerr D. 28. Petretta R. 76. Stefanovic L. 6. Thompson K. 99. Vilsaint J.
Coaches
Deila R.	Fraser R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Amador P. ↓, Lennon B. ↑,
61', Muyumba T. ↓, Alzate S. ↑,
61', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
63', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
63', Long K. ↓, Petretta R. ↑,
65', Alzate S. 🟨,
70', Gregersen S. 🟨,
80', Corbeanu T. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
82', Almiron M. 🟨,
84', Coello A. 🟨,
86', Hernandez R. ↓, Berrocal J. ↑,
86', Almiron M. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
90', Rosted S. ↓, Thompson K. ↑,
90', Dominguez M. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.

Atlanta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Toronto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlanta is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Atlanta: Amador P. (Hamstring Injury) Edwards M. (Hamstring Injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Thiare J. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United
MLS
16.08.25	Colorado Rapids - Atlanta United	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	CF Montréal - Atlanta United	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
06.08.25	Atlanta United - Atlas	4:1 ✺
02.08.25	UNAM - Atlanta United	3:2 ✺
30.07.25	Necaxa - Atlanta United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWLL
- Toronto FC
MLS
16.08.25	Toronto FC - Columbus Crew	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Charlotte - Toronto FC	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Nashville SC - Toronto FC	1:0 ✺
16.07.25	San Diego - Toronto FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
12.07.25	Toronto FC - Atlanta United	1:1
29.06.24	Atlanta United - Toronto FC	2:1
23.03.24	Toronto FC - Atlanta United	2:0
15.04.23	Toronto FC - Atlanta United	2:2
04.03.23	Atlanta United - Toronto FC	1:1
10.09.22	Atlanta United - Toronto FC	4:2
25.06.22	Toronto FC - Atlanta United	2:1

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