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Current Win Probability
Crown Legacy 52%
Draw 22.9%
New York City II 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.9%
20.7%
18.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
20.3%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crown Legacy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crown Legacy's form might have worsened.
New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York City II's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crown Legacy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York City II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Crown Legacy - New York City II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Kalicanin L. (G) 94. Smith G. 39. Neeley J. (C) 63. Holt W. 24. Thomas M. 89. Mendoza A. 20. Coulibaly B. 58. Longo D. 71. Richmond N. 27. Berchimas N. 91. Smalls M.
31. Learned M. (G) 82. Campos A. 57. Suchecki J. (C) 45. Acito K. 52. Smith K. 15. Pierre K. 71. Molinari P. 93. Samb E. 27. Flax C. 81. Musu S. 99. Reid S.
Substitutes
75. Alexander-Munoz J. 74. Ayovi M. 32. Blama B. 87. Curtis E. 68. Gonzalez C. 84. Hodzic A. 56. Pena E. 41. Romero B. 31. Wickham J. A. (G)
56. Bilden J. 79. Danquah C. 95. Daoud R. (G) 46. de Souza G. 58. Martin E. 83. Ponce J. 44. Sunjic L. 84. Vafiades N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Reid S. ⚽,
13', Coulibaly B. 🟥,
15', 0 - 2, Flax C. (Penalty Awarded),
20', Smith K. 🟨,
21', Smalls M. ↓, Pena E. ↑,
30', 0 - 3, Campos A. ⚽, Flax C. (A),
30', Richmond N. 🟨,
37', Learned M. ↓, Daoud R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Reid S. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
46', Smith K. ↓, Sunjic L. ↑,
46', Kalicanin L. ↓, Wickham J. A. ↑,
66', Longo D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
66', Richmond N. ↓, Curtis E. ↑,
75', Neeley J. ↓, Hodzic A. ↑,
77', Pierre K. ↓, Bilden J. ↑,
89', Musu S. ↓, Vafiades N. ↑,
90+2', Ponce J. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
New York City II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Crown Legacy is the team to beat.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Crown Legacy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 3.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Crown Legacy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).
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Kalicanin L. (G) 
Smith G. 
Coulibaly B. 
Longo D. 
Smalls M. 
Campos A. 
Smith K. 
Musu S. 
Ayovi M. 
Pena E. 
Wickham J. A. (G) 
Danquah C. 
Daoud R. (G) 
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