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Current Win Probability
CT United 57.5%
Draw 21.6%
New York City II 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.9%
20.7%
18.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.7%
20.1%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CT United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CT United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CT United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
CT United - New York City II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Rankenburg G. (G) 40. Corsetti G. 5. Boamah M. 12. Kamrath L. 22. Applewhaite A. 13. Monis A. (C) 46. Koloniaris N. 11. Gomez E. 14. Lacy D. 7. Tanyi B. 24. DโIppolito D.
80. Klein B. (G) 82. Campos A. 53. Loiola J. 45. Acito K. 77. Lopez J. 27. Flax C. 57. Suchecki J. (C) 83. Ponce J. 97. Duque D. 75. Kerr D. 81. Musu S.
Substitutes
9. Caua Paixao 45. Cuenca E. 27. Goddard L. 99. Kouonang H. 44. Medranda J. 18. Petrie S. 1. Ramos A. (G) 15. Stephenson J. 47. Wolanski A.
56. Bilden J. 92. De Pinho L. 46. de Souza G. 58. Martin E. 90. McDermott D. (G) 59. Randazzo D. 93. Samb E. 84. Vafiades N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽,
21', Lopez J. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Tanyi B. ⚽, DโIppolito D. (A),
45+2', 1 - 2, Musu S. ⚽, Kerr D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kerr D. ↓, Samb E. ↑,
49', Lacy D. 🟨,
54', DโIppolito D. ↓, Goddard L. ↑,
54', Corsetti G. ↓, Medranda J. ↑,
58', Duque D. ↓, Bilden J. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Ponce J. ⚽, Musu S. (A),
70', 1 - 4, Musu S. ⚽, Samb E. (A),
71', Koloniaris N. ↓, Petrie S. ↑,
71', Tanyi B. ↓, Kouonang H. ↑,
78', Petrie S. 🟨,
78', Applewhaite A. ↓, Caua Paixao ↑,
82', Lopez J. 🟨,
82', Flax C. 🟨,
84', Samb E. ↓, Martin E. ↑,
90+2', Campos A. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
CT United is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
New York City II's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
New York City II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, CT United has had a series of away games.
Recently, New York City II has had a series of home games.
In this match, CT United is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that CT United will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, CT United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.