The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlas 14.5%
Draw 21.4%
Juárez 64%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.5%
21.7%
60.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.1%
21.2%
62.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Atlas - Juárez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vazquez C. (G) 11. Ceren B. 2. Delgado D. (C) 7. Flores K. 17. Lopez A. 13. Maldonado M. 25. Meza D. 9. Munoz S. 5. Sainz M. 3. Saravia L. 15. Villalobos N.
28. Alvarado E. (G) 20. Abud K. 17. Asantewaa G. 3. Granados N. 18. Kaci A. 5. Lopez Y. 8. Mercado L. (C) 22. Mora Bianca 14. Rodriguez M. 27. Sanchez Stickel E. R. 13. Solorzano A.
Substitutes
6. Acevedo V. 24. Cardona A. 1. Contreras K. (G) 20. Garcia J. 16. Hernandez L. 4. Jasso I. 18. Lara A. 56. Lopez K. 22. Nalukenge J. 23. Penuna V.
21. Cadena M. 4. Castillo M. 16. Espinoza G. 30. Fuentes D. 12. Holguin C. (G) 11. Martin D. 7. Palafox N. 19. Singano J. 23. Solis B. 10. Zuazua M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Villalobos N. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Maldonado M. ⚽,
39', Sanchez Stickel E. R. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Solorzano A. ⚽,
45', Mora Bianca 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 2, Abud K. ⚽,
56', Asantewaa G. ↓, Castillo M. ↑,
63', Delgado D. ↓, Lara A. ↑,
72', Abud K. ↓, Singano J. ↑,
72', Solorzano A. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
72', Kaci A. ↓, Cadena M. ↑,
77', Flores K. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
77', Sainz M. ↓, Penuna V. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 3.
Atlas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Juárez has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Atlas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Juárez is the team to beat.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:10. (average 2.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).