Match Info

Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Colomos (Zapopan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One


	Atlas		Monterrey

	1	X	2
	7.3	4.95	1.3
	9.42	5.68	1.28
	7.51	5.1	1.35	Watch
	7.5	4.6	1.3
	7.75	4.79	1.37	Watch
	5.75	4.4	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.54 ↑ (6.67)	4.92 ↑ (4.64)	1.34 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas
12.2%

Draw
18.7%

Monterrey
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

19.5%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

18.7%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Atlas - Monterrey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vazquez C. (G) 11. Ceren B. 2. Delgado D. (C) 7. Flores K. 4. Jasso I. 17. Lopez A. 13. Maldonado M. 9. Munoz S. 5. Sainz M. 3. Saravia L. 15. Villalobos N.	28. Manrique P. (G) 34. Daiane 23. del Campo V. 22. Garcia D. (C) 17. Garcia L. 9. Gielnik E. 2. Monroy D. 10. Perez N. 27. Servin F. 15. Simental S. 18. Veloz A.
Substitutes
33. Aguilar N. 24. Cardona A. 1. Contreras K. (G) 20. Garcia J. 70. Gutierrez Y. 16. Hernandez L. 56. Lopez K. 50. Mora S. 22. Nalukenge J. 26. Peregrina Figueroa A. M.	13. Bernal K. 7. Burkenroad C. 33. Cazares C. 21. Fernandez A. 6. Martinez L. 24. Restrepo M. 3. Sanchez T. 12. Seoposenwe J. 25. Tajonar P. (G) 11. Vargas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Perez N. ⚽,
20', Garcia D. 🟨,
30', Simental S. ↓, Bernal K. ↑,
38', Monroy D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Perez N. 🟨,
57', Perez N. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
57', Gielnik E. ↓, Burkenroad C. ↑,
57', Garcia D. ↓, Restrepo M. ↑,
67', Flores K. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
71', Burkenroad C. 🟨,
76', 0 - 2, Burkenroad C. ⚽,
80', Munoz S. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
80', Maldonado M. ↓, Nalukenge J. ↑,
82', Lopez A. 🟨,
86', 0 - 3, Restrepo M. ⚽,
89', Servin F. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 1.

Atlas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Monterrey is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Monterrey is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:38. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlas Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
12.03.26	Querétaro - Atlas	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Atlas - Cruz Azul	4:6 ✺
16.02.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Atlas	4:2 ✺
10.02.26	Puebla - Atlas	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Atlas - UNAM	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLLW
- CF Monterrey Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
12.03.26	Mazatlan - Monterrey	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Monterrey - Atlético San Luis	6:0 ✺
15.02.26	Club America - Monterrey	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Monterrey - Toluca	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Monterrey - Tijuana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
31.10.25	Monterrey - Atlas	2:1
13.03.25	Atlas - Monterrey	2:1
23.07.24	Monterrey - Atlas	5:0
23.03.24	Atlas - Monterrey	0:1
05.08.23	Monterrey - Atlas	2:0
05.05.23	Atlas - Monterrey	3:2
12.09.22	Monterrey - Atlas	4:1

Atlas - Monterrey: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide