Match Info

Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Colomos (Zapopan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One


	Atlas		Santos Laguna

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.45	2.92
	2.23	3.62	2.94
	2.14	3.65	3.04	Watch
	2.1	3.3	2.9
	2.11	3.5	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.73)	3.5 ↓ (3.69)	2.95 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas
42.9%

Draw
26.1%

Santos Laguna
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

19.2%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlas's form might have worsened.

Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos Laguna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Atlas - Santos Laguna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vazquez C. (G) 11. Ceren B. (C) 7. Flores K. 4. Jasso I. 17. Lopez A. 13. Maldonado M. 25. Meza D. 9. Munoz S. 5. Sainz M. 3. Saravia L. 15. Villalobos N.	1. Mendoza K. (G) 9. Calvillo S. 14. Gomez A. 2. Hernandez Ponce A. G. 22. Ikechukwu V. 8. Nabweteme S. 4. Peraza M. 3. Pickard S. 7. Rodriguez D. (C) 10. Rodriguez K. 20. Romero Torres L. M.
Substitutes
33. Aguilar N. 24. Cardona A. 1. Contreras K. (G) 2. Delgado D. 20. Garcia J. 16. Hernandez L. 56. Lopez K. 22. Nalukenge J. 23. Penuna V. 26. Peregrina Figueroa A. M.	51. De Santiago Melendez J. 16. Guevara Ortega C. 17. Martinez M. 24. Padilla D. 23. Rivas T. (G) 25. Ruiz M. 11. Santana M.
Coaches
Alfaro J.	Lazcano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Munoz S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rodriguez K. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 2.

Recent performances by Atlas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Santos Laguna has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atlas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlas is a strong favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlas Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
01.04.26	Club America - Atlas	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Atlas - Necaxa	3:2 ✺
23.03.26	Club León - Atlas	4:0 ✺
16.03.26	Atlas - Monterrey	0:3 ✺
12.03.26	Querétaro - Atlas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW
- Santos Laguna Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
02.04.26	Santos Laguna - Pachuca	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Santos Laguna - Atlético San Luis	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Juárez - Santos Laguna	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Santos Laguna - Cruz Azul	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Tigres UANL - Santos Laguna	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
15.09.25	Santos Laguna - Atlas	1:2
03.01.25	Atlas - Santos Laguna	1:3
10.08.24	Santos Laguna - Atlas	0:3
04.02.24	Santos Laguna - Atlas	0:0
04.09.23	Atlas - Santos Laguna	0:0
26.03.23	Santos Laguna - Atlas	1:2
27.08.22	Atlas - Santos Laguna	2:1

Atlas - Santos Laguna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide