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Current Win Probability
Club León 61.9%
Draw 20.4%
Atlas 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
25.5%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
22.3%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club León's performance.
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club León that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Club León - Atlas Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - León (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. León (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Acuna N. S. (G) 27. Aleman I. 22. Cortes S. 29. Jasso K. 10. Lemos S. 12. Lien Le C. 4. Lozada A. 17. Pinilla F. 16. Rausch Tamayo M. A. (C) 6. Razo V. 15. Soto K.
12. Vazquez C. (G) 11. Ceren B. 2. Delgado D. (C) 7. Flores K. 4. Jasso I. 17. Lopez A. 13. Maldonado M. 25. Meza D. 9. Munoz S. 5. Sainz M. 15. Villalobos N.
Substitutes
33. Barrientos Y. 8. Bravo L. R. 1. Buenfil N. R. (G) 18. Carter T. 20. Garcia L. 2. Garcia M. 5. Gutierrez D. 25. Herrera L. 26. Ramirez A. 21. Villanueva A.
33. Aguilar N. 1. Contreras K. (G) 70. Gutierrez Y. 16. Hernandez L. 56. Lopez K. 80. Martinez P. 22. Nalukenge J.
Coaches
Corona A.
Alfaro J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Aleman I. ⚽,
41', Lopez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', Lopez A. 🟥,
64', Soto K. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
64', 🟨,
70', Lien Le C. 🟨,
72', Aleman I. ↓, Villanueva A. ↑,
72', Lien Le C. ↓, Carter T. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Garcia M. ⚽,
83', Maldonado M. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Lemos S. ⚽,
86', Lemos S. ↓, Barrientos Y. ↑,
86', Cortes S. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
89', Meza D. ↓, Aguilar N. ↑,
89', Delgado D. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 0, Razo V. ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 3.
León has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atlas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, León is the team to beat.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, León won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, León won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.1:2).
Mexico
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Acuna N. S. (G) 
Lemos S. 
Lien Le C. 
Pinilla F. 
Ceren B. 
Flores K. 
Bravo L. R. 
Carter T. 
Martinez P. 
Nalukenge J. 
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