Match Info

Primera C - Qualification - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday


	Atlas General Rodríguez		Mercedes

	1	X	2
	1.74	3.02	4.97
	1.79	3.48	4.17	Watch
	1.74	3.5	4.22
	1.62	3.66	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.89)	3.42 ↑ (3.3)	4.47 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas General Rodríguez
52.9%

Draw
26.7%

Mercedes
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.8%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

27.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas General Rodríguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas General Rodríguez than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+3%)

Atlas General Rodríguez - Mercedes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Vergara N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Bentancor T. ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, Martinez S. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mercedes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlas is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Atlas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlas General Rodríguez
Argentinian Primera C
06.10.25	Atlas General Rodríguez - Defensores de Cambaceres	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Atlas General Rodríguez - Club Luján	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Argentino de Rosario - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:0 ✺
02.09.25	Atlas General Rodríguez - Deportivo Camioneros	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTLL
- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
03.10.25	Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
16.09.25	Mercedes - Leandro N. Alem	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Mercedes	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
14.07.24	Mercedes - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:0
11.02.24	Atlas General Rodríguez - Mercedes	1:1

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