The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guadalajara Chivas U21 58.6%
Draw 23.8%
Querétaro U21 17.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.2%
23.9%
15.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.6%
21.9%
14.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guadalajara Chivas U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Querétaro U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalajara Chivas U21 than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guadalajara Chivas U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Querétaro U21 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Apertura ~ Playoffs and 18th).
Guadalajara U21 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Querétaro U21 is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Querétaro U21 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Guadalajara U21 carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Guadalajara U21 in today's match, at odds of 1.48.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Guadalajara U21 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guadalajara U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.