Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 2

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Fossombrone		L Aquila

	1	X	2
	2.90	2.65	2.50
	2.90	2.75	2.40
	3.19	2.21	2.89
	2.73	3.25	2.39	Watch
	3.15	2.18	2.85
	2.75	3.25	2.51
	2.63	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.7)	2.77 ↓ (3.2)	2.56 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fossombrone
31.5%

Draw
32.9%

L Aquila
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

28.4%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

L Aquila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Fossombrone - L Aquila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
73', 0 - 2, ⚽,
76', 0 - 3, ⚽,
79', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Fossombrone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fossombrone won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fossombrone won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	L Aquila	6	4	2	0	12:2	10	14
6	Fossombrone	6	3	1	2	6:9	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F
06.09.26	Giulianova - Fossombrone	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Cesena - Fossombrone	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.04.26	Atletico Ascoli - Fossombrone	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	San Marino Calcio - Fossombrone	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Fossombrone - L Aquila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLTLW
- L Aquila Calcio
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Pineto - L Aquila	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
26.04.26	L Aquila - Ancona	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ostia Mare - L Aquila	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Sammaurese - L Aquila	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	L Aquila - Notaresco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
29.03.26	Fossombrone - L Aquila	1:0
16.11.25	L Aquila - Fossombrone	3:0
24.03.24	L Aquila - Fossombrone	2:0
12.11.23	Fossombrone - L Aquila	0:0

Upcoming Matches