Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 12

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Central Español

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.6
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.13	3.27	3.37
	1.39	4.34	7.88	Watch
	1.95	3	3.9
	2.09	3.13	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.32)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	4.23 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
49.3%

Draw
28.3%

Central Español
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.4%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

27.6%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atletico Fenix Montevideo's performance.

Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Español might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atletico Fenix Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Español could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	16.7%	5.6%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Central Español Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Fenix will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Central Español will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenix: 58.6% – 97%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Central Español (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atletico Fenix Montevideo will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenix (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Central Español (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Ribas S. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 2 - 0, Perez A. ⚽,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Central Español may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fenix is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Fenix won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.07.25	Tacuarembó - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rentistas	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:2 ✺
29.06.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerrito	3:2 ✺
22.06.25	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTTWW
- Central Español
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.07.25	Central Español - Rampla Juniors	4:1 ✺
14.07.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Central Español	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Central Español - Artigas	0:0 ✺
27.06.25	Central Español - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Rentistas - Central Español	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
13.04.13	Central Español - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:3
21.10.12	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Central Español	1:2

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