Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 10

Date: 14 July 2025, Monday


	Atenas de San Carlos		Central Español

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	2.95	Watch
	1.92	3.1	3.7
	1.94	3.39	3.79
				Watch
	2.45	2.7	3.1
	1.81	3.28	4.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.49)	3.05 ↑ (2.76)	3.53 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas de San Carlos
44%

Draw
30%

Central Español
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

33.1%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

32.6%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas de San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atenas de San Carlos's performance.

Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atenas de San Carlos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Atenas de San Carlos - Central Español Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atenas will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atenas: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atenas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Central Español (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Central Español (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Atenas (votes: 1 - 25%). Central Español (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Villalpando J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
87', Nunez M. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Central Español has had a series of home games.

In this match, Atenas is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atenas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.07.25	Tacuarembó - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Rentistas	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	La Luz - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Cerrito	3:0 ✺
08.06.25	Colón Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLTWW
- Central Español
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.07.25	Central Español - Artigas	0:0 ✺
27.06.25	Central Español - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Rentistas - Central Español	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Central Español - La Luz	0:0 ✺
09.06.25	Central Español - Cerrito	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.03.25	Central Español - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1
30.07.22	Central Español - Atenas de San Carlos	3:2
06.05.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Central Español	1:1
18.10.21	Atenas de San Carlos - Central Español	0:1
07.07.21	Central Español - Atenas de San Carlos	0:3
02.11.20	Central Español - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1
07.09.20	Atenas de San Carlos - Central Español	0:1

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